Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 1273.777137 1446.398892 1637.631392 1865.852837 2131.659620 2432.484761 2800.149214
2025-10-12 1018.091975 1248.600824 1527.844437 1893.867575 2365.152709 2957.186899 3766.111456
2025-10-19 878.408595 1133.193367 1460.723166 1918.249468 2549.798207 3404.144305 4670.302964
2025-10-26 780.289609 1047.899209 1408.664014 1939.397353 2715.379100 3832.613553 5608.091502
2025-11-02 716.194767 995.835746 1388.745273 1993.779015 2925.100735 4344.060961 6749.400576
2025-11-09 653.912453 936.602526 1348.155827 2007.537870 3069.478383 4771.139130 7829.441929
2025-11-16 600.811261 883.514900 1308.348444 2013.800160 3197.781114 5185.431573 8959.069588
2025-11-23 559.225342 842.572633 1281.064311 2033.960931 3347.765245 5653.690475 10270.538525
2025-11-30 526.331233 811.246249 1264.513378 2067.874560 3523.044986 6189.551250 11814.475770
2025-12-07 480.938160 755.253514 1201.714163 2014.163549 3532.571330 6418.371000 12784.743191
2025-12-14 441.183867 704.809260 1142.976299 1960.094033 3532.569701 6625.820618 13747.921593
2025-12-21 404.579636 656.465468 1083.197018 1897.030548 3506.022015 6774.090542 14607.335544
2025-12-28 391.046823 647.343208 1092.400690 1966.305168 3756.288002 7549.372035 17144.237093
2026-01-04 372.576672 628.088770 1081.885735 1997.147992 3934.317766 8205.430963 19576.298379
2026-01-11 355.224400 609.168626 1069.867072 2023.017088 4104.753043 8874.234539 22224.795316
2026-01-18 339.028338 590.887635 1057.122031 2045.510434 4270.567990 9562.442587 25125.893897
2026-01-25 328.382347 581.951545 1061.239389 2103.354600 4524.960674 10516.381056 29096.090810
2026-02-01 313.708952 564.114172 1046.163353 2117.991982 4679.960503 11247.712101 32621.379537
2026-02-08 299.399447 545.821058 1028.466811 2124.654448 4816.519675 11957.567884 36317.844068
2026-02-15 287.676577 531.677557 1017.913334 2146.104911 4993.345257 12815.441373 40831.773305
2026-02-22 278.156886 521.176249 1013.933066 2182.192669 5213.661247 13846.129750 46371.418843
2026-03-01 261.053094 494.046621 972.513382 2125.041065 5177.845619 14106.853337 49060.071972
2026-03-08 245.241918 468.532343 932.622814 2067.522957 5133.328328 14334.235576 51714.355263